Open Access Journal Article

Dilemma for fiscal policies: supporting economic activity, or ensuring public debt sustainability?

by Séverine Menguy a,* orcid
a
Faculté Société et Humanités, Université Paris Cité, Paris, France
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
JEA  2024, 62; 3(2), 62; https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03020010
Received: 11 July 2023 / Accepted: 15 August 2023 / Published Online: 15 June 2024

Abstract

We study analytically the conflict of goals between stabilizing economic activity and public debt sustainability, for the fiscal authorities. In the short run, an active and expansionary fiscal policy, increasing public investment or reducing the labor taxation rate, is growth enhancing. However, as these short term fiscal policies also decrease government revenue and increase the public debt, budgetary and fiscal multipliers are reduced in the long run. In the framework of a potential ZLB constraint for monetary policy, an expansionary fiscal policy is thus appropriate only if long term labor and consumption taxation rates are small, and if the share of public expenditure in GDP is high. On the contrary, fiscal policy should be contractionary, in order to insure the sustainability of the long term public debt, if long term labor and consumption taxation rates are high. A contractionary fiscal policy is then also all the more appropriate as the sensitivity of government expenditure to the public debt is high, and as the labor share in the production function is high.


Copyright: © 2024 by Menguy. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY) (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

Share and Cite

ACS Style
Menguy, S. Dilemma for fiscal policies: supporting economic activity, or ensuring public debt sustainability?. Journal of Economic Analysis, 2024, 3, 62. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03020010
AMA Style
Menguy S. Dilemma for fiscal policies: supporting economic activity, or ensuring public debt sustainability?. Journal of Economic Analysis; 2024, 3(2):62. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03020010
Chicago/Turabian Style
Menguy, Séverine 2024. "Dilemma for fiscal policies: supporting economic activity, or ensuring public debt sustainability?" Journal of Economic Analysis 3, no.2:62. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03020010
APA style
Menguy, S. (2024). Dilemma for fiscal policies: supporting economic activity, or ensuring public debt sustainability?. Journal of Economic Analysis, 3(2), 62. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03020010

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics

References

  1. Andrés, J., Burriel, P., and Shi, W. (2020). Debt Sustainability and Fiscal Space in a Heterogeneous Monetary Union: Normal Times vs the Zero Lower Bound. Working Paper, n°2001, Banco de España. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3521243
  2. Battistini, N., Callegari, G., and Zavalloni, L. (2019). Dynamic Fiscal Limits and Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions. ECB Working Paper, n°2268, April. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3374165
  3. Bohn, H. (1998). The Behavior of U.S. Public Debt and Deficits. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113 (3), 949–963. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355398555793
  4. Bonam, D., and Lukkezen, J. (2019). Fiscal and Monetary Policy Coordination. Macroeconomic Stability, and Sovereign Risk Premia. Journal of Monetary, Credit and Banking, 51 (2-3), March-April, 581–616. https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12577
  5. Burriel, P., Checherita-Westphal, C., Jacquinot, P., Schön, M., and Stähler, N. (2020). Economic Consequences of High Public Debt: Evidence from three Large Scale DSGE Models. European Central Bank, Working Paper Series, n°2450, July. https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bde:wpaper:2029.
  6. Carvalho, V. M., and Martins, M. M. F. (2011). Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidations in a DSGE Model for the Euro Area: Does Composition matter? FEP Working Papers, n°421, Universidade do Porto, Facultade de Economia do Porto. https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:por:fepwps:421
  7. Checherita-Westphal, C., and Zdarek, V. (2017). Fiscal Reaction Function and Fiscal Fatigue: Evidence for the Euro Area. ECB Working Paper, n°2036, March. https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20172036
  8. Corsetti, G., Kuester, K., Meier, A. and Mûller, G. J. (2013). Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Policy, and Macroeconomic Stability. Economic Journal, 123, F99–F132. https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecj:econjl:v::y:2013:i::p:f99-f132
  9. European Commission (2022). Taxation Trends in the European Union: Data for the EU Member States, Iceland, Norway. Publications Office of the European Union. https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2778/417176
  10. Finn, M. G. (1998). Cyclical Effects of Government’s Employment and Goods Purchases. International Economic Review, 39 (3), August, 635–657. https://doi.org/10.2307/2527394
  11. Larch, M., Orseau, E., and Van der Wielen, W. (2021). Do EU Fiscal Rules support or hinder Counter-cyclical Fiscal Policy? Journal of International Money and Finance, 112, April, 102328. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2020.102328
  12. Linnemann, L., and Schabert, A. (2010). Debt Non-neutrality, Policy Interactions, and Macroeconomic Stability. International Economic Review, 51 (2), May, 461–74. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2354.2010.00588.x
  13. Martin, P., Pisani-Ferry, J., and Ragot, X. (2021). Reforming the European fiscal framework. Les notes du conseil d’analyse économique, n°63, Conseil d'Analyse Économique, April. https://www.cae-eco.fr/staticfiles/pdf/cae-note063-en.pdf
  14. Nerlich, C., and Reuter, W. H. (2015). Fiscal Rules, Fiscal Space and Procyclical Fiscal Policy. ECB Working Paper, n°1872, December. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3409786
  15. Sims, E., and Wolff, J. (2018). The Output and Welfare Effects of Government Spending Shocks over the Business Cycle. International Economic Review, 59 (3), August, 1403-1435. https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12308