Open Access Journal Article

Housing Prices and Land Use Regulations: A Study of 250 Major US Cities

by Theo S. Eicher a,* orcid
a
Department of Economics, University of Washington, Seattle, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
JEA  2024, 45; 3(1), 45; https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03010002
Received: 7 June 2023 / Accepted: 2 July 2023 / Published Online: 2 March 2024

Abstract

Income and population growth are key determinants of housing demand, while land use regulations are designed to affect housing supply. Previous studies of housing price determinants focus either on specific regulations in particular cities/regions, or on selective subsets of major cities and regulations. This study examines the impact of land use regulations on housing prices from 1989 to 2006 in an unusually large sample of 250 major US cities. Aside from factors that are commonly associated with housing demand (income, population growth and density), housing prices are found to be associated with local cost-increasing land use regulations (approval delays) and with statewide regulations. Since statewide regulations factor prominently into the results, specific examples of the impact of different types of land use regulations are provided for 5 cities in the state of Washington. The estimated increase in housing prices associated with regulations is, on average (over 250 cities), substantially larger than the effects of income and population growth. While the estimated dollar costs associated with regulations may be sizable at times, the results are remarkably consistent with previous studies that were based on smaller cross sections.


Copyright: © 2024 by Eicher. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY) (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
Show Figures

Share and Cite

ACS Style
Eicher, T. S. Housing Prices and Land Use Regulations: A Study of 250 Major US Cities. Journal of Economic Analysis, 2024, 3, 45. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03010002
AMA Style
Eicher T S. Housing Prices and Land Use Regulations: A Study of 250 Major US Cities. Journal of Economic Analysis; 2024, 3(1):45. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03010002
Chicago/Turabian Style
Eicher, Theo S. 2024. "Housing Prices and Land Use Regulations: A Study of 250 Major US Cities" Journal of Economic Analysis 3, no.1:45. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03010002
APA style
Eicher, T. S. (2024). Housing Prices and Land Use Regulations: A Study of 250 Major US Cities. Journal of Economic Analysis, 3(1), 45. https://doi.org/10.58567/jea03010002

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics

References

  1. American Institute of Planners (AIP), (1976) Survey of State Land Use Planning Activity. Report to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Washington, DC.
  2. Beasley, S. D., W. G. Workman and N.A. Williams, (1986), Estimating amenity values of urban fringe farmland: a contingent valuation approach: note, Growth and Change 17, (4), pp:70–78. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2257.1986.tb00067.x
  3. Black, J. T. and J. Hoben, (1985), Land price inflation and affordable housing, Urban Geography 6, (1), pp: 27-49. https://doi.org/10.2747/0272-3638.6.1.27
  4. Breffle, W. S., Morey, E. R. and T. S. Lodder, (1998), Using Contingent Valuation to Estimate a Neighborhood’s Willingness to Pay to Preserve Undeveloped Urban Land, Urban Studies 35, (4), pp:715–727. https://doi.org/10.1080/0042098984718
  5. Breusch, T. and A. Pagan, (1979), A Simple Test for Heteroskedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation, Econometrica, 47, pp:1287-1294. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911963
  6. Brueckner, J. K., (2007), Government Land-Use Interventions: An Economic Analysis, Urban Land Markets, 3-23.
  7. Carson, J., (2006), Housing Costs in the CPI, What Are We Measuring, Business Economics, January, 41, 59–68. https://doi.org/10.2145/20060108
  8. Caselli, F., G. Esquivel and F. Lefort, (1996), Reopening the Convergence Debate: A New Look at Cross-Country Growth Empirics, Journal of Economic Growth, 1, 363–389. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00141044
  9. Chan S. (2004), Drawing the Line: The Effect of Urban Growth Boundaries on Housing Prices in the San Francisco Bay Area, Stanford University Working Paper
  10. Cho M. and P.A. Linneman, (1993), Interjurisdictional Spillover Effects of Land Use Regulations, Journal of Housing Research, Volume 4, 1, 131-163. https://www.jstor.org/stable/24832756
  11. Connerly, C. E., (2004), Smart Growth Opportunity or Threat for Affordable Housing? Florida State University Working Paper, published (without tables) in Incentives, Regulations and Plans: The Role of States and Nation-states in Smart Growth Planning G. Knaap, H. A. Haccou, K. J. Clifton, J. W. Frece eds Edward Elgar Publishing (2007).
  12. Crellin G. A. Daheim and R. Nelson, (2006), Washington’s Growth Management Act at 15: How has Affordable Housing Fared? Washington Center for Real Estate Research Working Paper (106).
  13. Diewert, E., (2003), Hedonic Regressions: A Review of Some Unresolved Issues, presentation at the Ottawa Group Meeting on Price Indices, Paris.
  14. Downs, A., (1992), Regulatory Barriers to Affordable Housing, Journal of the American Planning Association, 58, 4, pp. 419-22.
  15. Downs, A., (2002), Have Housing Prices Risen Faster in Portland Than Elsewhere, Housing Policy Debate, Vol 13 (1). https://doi.org/10.1080/10511482.2002.9521432
  16. Duranton, G. and D. Puga, (2004), Micro-foundations of Urban Agglomeration Economies, Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, 4, 48, 2063-2117. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0080(04)80005-1
  17. Ervin, K., (2006), Judges Reject Local Vote On Critical Areas Rules, Seattle Times December 22.
  18. Foster, D. D. and A. Summers, (2005), Current State Legislative and Judicial Profiles on Land-Use Regulations in the U.S., Wharton Real Estate Center WP No. 512.
  19. Geoghegan, J., (2002), The Value of Open Spaces in Residential Land Use, Land Use Policy, 19, (1), pp. 91-98. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0264-8377(01)00040-0
  20. Glaeser, E. L. and J Gyourko, (2002), Zoning’s Steep Price, Regulation. 25(3) pp: 24-31
  21. Glaeser, E. L., (2004), Housing Supply, NBER Reporter Spring
  22. Glaeser, E. L., (2007), The Economic Approach to Cities, NBER Working Paper 13696. https://doi.org/ 10.3386/w13696
  23. Glaeser, E. L., J Gyourko and R. Saks, (2005), Why Is Manhattan So Expensive? Regulation and the Rise in Housing Prices, Journal of Law and Economics 48, (2), 331-369. https://doi.org/10.1086/429979
  24. Glaeser, E. L., J. Schuetz and B. Ward, (2006), Regulation and the Rise of Housing Prices in Greater Boston, White Paper, Rappaport Institute Harvard University
  25. Glaeser, E. L., J. Schuetz and B. Ward, (2006), The Price is (Not) Right, Commonwealth (Growth and Development Extra), pp. 99-102
  26. Green R. K., S. Malpezzi, and S. K. Mayo, (2005), Metropolitan-Specific Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Supply of Housing, and Their Sources, American Economic Review, Vol. 95(2), 334-339. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282805774670077
  27. Green, R. K., (1999), Land Use Regulation and the Price of Ho using in a Suburban Wisconsin County, Journal of Housing Economics, 8(2):144-159 (June).
  28. Guidry, K. A., J. D. Shilling, and C. F. Sirmans, (1991), An Econometric Analysis of Variation in Urban Residential Land Prices and the Adoption of Land-Use Controls, University of Wisconsin Working Paper
  29. Gyourko, J and A. Summers, (2006), Residential Land Use Regulation in the Philadelphia MSA, Wharton Working Papers
  30. Gyourko, J., A. Saiz, and A. Summers, (2008), A New Measure of the Local Regulatory Environment for Housing Markets: The Wharton Residential Land Use Regulatory Index, Urban Economics. 45, 3. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098007087341
  31. Heravi, S. and M. Silver, (2002), On the Stability of Hedonic Coefficients and their Implications for Quality Adjusted Price Change Measurement, presented at the Joint NBER and CRIW Measurement Workshop
  32. Ihlanfeldt, K. R., (2004), Exclusionary Land-use Regulations within Suburban Communities: A Review of the Evidence and Policy Prescriptions, Urban Studies, 41(2), 261-283. https://doi.org/10.1080/004209803200165244
  33. Katz L. and K. Rosen, (1984), The Effects of Land Use Controls on Housing Prices, UC Berkeley, Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics, 1984
  34. Katz L. and K. Rosen, (1987), The Interjurisdictional Effects of Growth Controls on Housing Prices, Journal of Law and Economics 56, 1, 149-160. https://doi.org/10.1086/467133
  35. King County, (2004), Annual Bulletin Tracking Housing Costs in King County, King County's Budget Office, Demographics Section
  36. Landis J. D., L. Deng and M. Reilly, (2002), Growth Management Revisited: A Reassessment of its Efficacy, Price Effects and Impacts on Metropolitan Growth Patterns, UC Berkeley: Institute of Urban and Regional Development Working Paper 02. http://hdl.handle.net/10419/23602
  37. Landis, J. D., (1986), Land Regulation and the Price of New Housing: Lesson from Three California Cities, Journal of the American Planning Association 52(1), 9-21. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944368608976855
  38. Langston, J., (2005), Critical Areas Ordinance' Provokes Bitter 'Rural vs. Urban' Dispute, Seattle Post-Intelligencer, November 16.
  39. Levine, N., (1999), The Effect of Local Growth Controls on Regional Housing Production and Population Redistribution in California, Urban Studies, 36 (12), 2047–68. https://doi.org/10.1080/0042098992539
  40. Linneman P. A. Summer, H. Buist and N. Brooks, (1990), The State of Local Growth Management Wharton Real Estate Center Working Paper 81
  41. Luger, M. and K. M. Temki, (2000), Red Tape and Housing Costs: How Regulation Affects New Residential Development, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. 21, 4, 715-717. https://www.jstor.org/stable/3326021
  42. Malpezzi, S. and R.K. Green (1996), What Has Happened to the Bottom of the US Housing Market? Urban Studies, 33, (10), 1807-1820. https://doi.org/10.1080/0042098966385
  43. Malpezzi, S., (1996), Housing Prices, Externalities, and Regulation in U.S. Metropolitan Areas, Journal of Housing Research, 7, (2), 209-241. https://www.jstor.org/stable/24832860
  44. Malpezzi, S., G. Chun and R. Green, (1998), New Place-to-Place Housing Price Indexes for U.S. Metropolitan Areas, and Their Determinants: An Application of Housing Indicators, Real Estate Economics, 26(2), 235-75. https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.00745
  45. Mankiw N. G., and D. N. Weil, (1991), The Baby Boom, The Baby Bust and the Housing Market. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 21(4), 573-579. https://doi.org/10.1016/0166-0462(89)90005-7
  46. National Low Income Housing Coalition (NLIHC), (2006), National Low Income Housing Coalition Annual Report, http://www.nlihc.org/oor/oor2006/
  47. Nelson, A. C., R. Pendall, C. J. Dawkins, and G. J. Knaap, (2004), The Link between Growth Management and Housing Affordability: The Academic Evidence, in Anthony Downs, ed., Growth Management and Affordable Housing: Do They Conflict? Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 117-158.
  48. O’Sullivan, A., (2003), Urban Economics, 5th Edition Boston: McGraw-Hill.
  49. O’Toole, R., (2002), Land-use Regulation Makes Housing less Affordable, Harvard Study Finds, Environment News, November 1
  50. Pakes, Ariel, (2003), A Reconsideration Of Hedonic Price Indexes With An Application To PC's, American Economic Review, 93(5), 1578-1614. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803322655455
  51. Phillips, J. and E. Goodstein, (2000), Growth Management and Housing Prices: The Case of Portland, Oregon, Contemporary Economic Policy, 18(3):334-344. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7287.2000.tb00030.x
  52. Pogodzinski, J. N. and T. R. Sass, (1991), Measuring the Effects of Municipal Zoning Regulation: A Survey, Urban Studies, 28, 597-621. https://doi.org/10.1080/00420989120080681
  53. Pollakowski H. O. and S. M. Wachter, (1990), The Effects of Land-Use Constraints on Housing Prices, Land Economics, 66, 3, 315-324. https://doi.org/10.2307/3146732
  54. Postrel, V., (2007), The Tale of Town Homes, Atlantic Monthly, Vol 300, 4.
  55. Poterba, J. M., (1984), Tax Subsidies to Owner-Occupied Housing: An Asset-Market Approach, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 99, 4, 729-752. https://doi.org/10.2307/1883123
  56. Quigley J.M. and S. Raphael., (2005), Regulation and the High Cost of Housing in California, American Economic Review, 95, (3) 323-328. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282805774670293
  57. Quigley, J. M., and L. Rosenthal, (2005), The Effects of Land Use Regulation on the Price of Housing: What do We Know? What Can We Learn, Cityscape, 8, 69–138. https://www.jstor.org/stable/20868572
  58. Ramsey, J. B., (1969), Tests for Specification Errors In Classical Least-Squares Regression Analysis, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 31, 350-71. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1969.tb00796.x
  59. Ready, R. C., M. C. Berger and G. Blomquist, (1997), Measuring Benefits From Farmland: Hedonic Pricing vs. Contingent Valuation, Growth and Change 28, (4), pp. 438–458.
  60. Rosenthal, Stuart S., (1999), Housing Supply: The Other Half of the Market, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 18(1), pp. 5–8.
  61. Schwartz, S, P.M. Zorn and D.E. Hanen, (1986), Research Design Issues and Pitfalls in Growth Control Studies, Land Economics, 62, 3, 223-233. https://doi.org/10.2307/3146388
  62. Seattle Times, (2008), That 500,000 Rambler, Editorial Board Opinion February 19, 2008.
  63. Segal, D. and P, Srinivasan, (1985), The Impact of Suburban Growth Restrictions on U.S. Residential Land Value, Urban Geography 6, (1), pp: 14-26.
  64. Singell L. D. and J. H. Lillydahl, (1987), An Empirical Examination of the Effect of Impact Fees on the Housing Market, Land Economics, 66, 1, 82-92. https://doi.org/10.2307/3146685
  65. Somerville C. T. and C. J. Mayer, (2003), Government Regulation and Changes in the Affordable Housing Stock, Economic Policy Review, June 2003 45-6. https://ssrn.com/abstract=790506
  66. Staley S. R., and L. C. Gilroy, (2001), Smart Growth and Housing Affordability: Evidence from Statewide Planning Laws, Reason Public Policy Institute.
  67. Summers, L.H., (1981), Inflation, The Stock Market and Owner-Occupied Housing, American Economic Review, vol. 71(2), pages 429-34.
  68. Thorson, J. A., (1996), An Examination of the Monopoly Zoning Hypothesis, Land Economics 72(1):43-55. https://doi.org/10.2307/3147156
  69. Triplett, J. E. and R. J. McDonald, (1977), Assessing the Quality Error in Output Measures: The Case of Refrigerators, Review of Income and Wealth 23:2, 137-156. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4991.1977.tb00008.x
  70. Van Nieuwerburgh, S. and P. O. Weill, (2010), Why Has House Price Dispersion Gone Up? The Review of Economic Studies, 77, 4, 1567–1606, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2010.00611.x
  71. Xing, X, D. J. Hartzell and D. R. Godschalk, (2006), Land Use Regulations and Housing Markets in Large Metropolitan Areas, Journal of Housing Research, 15 (1), 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1080/10835547.2004.12091964