Open Access Journal Article

Asymmetric efficiency of cryptocurrencies during the 2020 and 2022 events

by Mariana Chambino a,* orcid Rui Manuel Teixeira Dias a, b orcid  and  Nicole Rebolo Horta a orcid
a
Accounting and Finance Department, ESCE, Instituto Politécnico de Setúbal, Setúbal, Portugal
b
Center for Studies and Advanced Training in Management and Economics (CEFAGE), University of Évora, Évora, Portugal
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
EAL  2023, 22; 2(2), 22; https://doi.org/10.58567/eal02020004
Received: 20 March 2023 / Accepted: 14 May 2023 / Published Online: 21 May 2023

Abstract

In this study, we examined the efficiency of cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), Ripple (XRP), DASH, EOS, and MONERO from March 1, 2018, to March 1, 2023. We separated the sample into four subperiods for this purpose: a Tranquil period that includes the period from March 1, 2018, to December 31, 2019; a First Wave that includes the year 2020; a Second Wave that includes the year 2021; and a fourth subperiod that includes Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022-2023. The results are mixed, with some cryptocurrencies exhibiting equilibrium and others exhibiting autocorrelation and predictability in their pricing. When the sample is divided into subperiods, most digital currencies have long memories in their returns during the Tranquil period, BTC, LTC, and XRP exhibit efficiency during the First Wave of the pandemic, while BTC, ETH, and MONERO indicate efficiency during the Second Wave. Most assessed digital currencies showed equilibrium by 2022, with the exception of ETH and MONERO, which exhibit long memories, and LTC, which demonstrates anti-persistence. These results hold significance for investors in these alternative markets, as they suggest that some cryptocurrencies may be more predictable and therefore potentially profitable, whereas others may require greater caution and risk management strategies.


Copyright: © 2023 by Chambino, Dias and Horta. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY) (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
Show Figures

Share and Cite

ACS Style
Chambino, M.; Dias, R. M. T.; Horta, N. R. Asymmetric efficiency of cryptocurrencies during the 2020 and 2022 events. Economic Analysis Letters, 2023, 2, 22. https://doi.org/10.58567/eal02020004
AMA Style
Chambino M, Dias R M T, Horta N R. Asymmetric efficiency of cryptocurrencies during the 2020 and 2022 events. Economic Analysis Letters; 2023, 2(2):22. https://doi.org/10.58567/eal02020004
Chicago/Turabian Style
Chambino, Mariana; Dias, Rui M. T.; Horta, Nicole R. 2023. "Asymmetric efficiency of cryptocurrencies during the 2020 and 2022 events" Economic Analysis Letters 2, no.2:22. https://doi.org/10.58567/eal02020004
APA style
Chambino, M., Dias, R. M. T., & Horta, N. R. (2023). Asymmetric efficiency of cryptocurrencies during the 2020 and 2022 events. Economic Analysis Letters, 2(2), 22. https://doi.org/10.58567/eal02020004

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics

References

  1. Chu, J., Zhang, Y., & Chan, S. (2019a). The adaptive market hypothesis in the high frequency cryptocurrency market. International Review of Financial Analysis, 64, 221–231. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IRFA.2019.05.008
  2. Chu, J., Zhang, Y., & Chan, S. (2019b). The adaptive market hypothesis in the high frequency cryptocurrency market. International Review of Financial Analysis, 64, 221–231. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IRFA.2019.05.008
  3. Dias, R., & Carvalho, L. C. (2020). Hedges and safe havens: An examination of stocks, gold and silver in Latin America’s stock market. Revista de Administração Da UFSM, 13(5), 1114–1132. https://doi.org/10.5902/1983465961307
  4. Dias, R., Heliodoro, P., Teixeira, N., & Godinho, T. (2020). Testing the Weak Form of Efficient Market Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Equity Markets. International Journal of Accounting, Finance and Risk Management, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijafrm.20200501.14
  5. Dias, R., Pardal, P., Teixeira, N., & Horta, N. (2022). Tail Risk and Return Predictability for Europe’ s Capital Markets : An Approach in Periods of the. December. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-6684-5666-8.ch015
  6. Dias, R., & Santos, H. (2020a). Stock Market Efficiency in Africa: Evidence from Random Walk Hypothesis. 6th LIMEN Conference Proceedings (Part of LIMEN Conference Collection), 6(July), 25–37. https://doi.org/10.31410/limen.2020.25
  7. Dias, R., & Santos, H. (2020b). the Impact of Covid-19 on Exchange Rate Volatility: an Econophysics Approach. 6th LIMEN Conference Proceedings (Part of LIMEN Conference Collection), 6(July), 39–49. https://doi.org/10.31410/limen.2020.39
  8. Dias, R. T., Pardal, P., Santos, H., & Vasco, C. (2021). Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis for Real Exchange Rates (Issue June, pp. 304–322). https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-6926-9.ch017
  9. Dickey, D., & Fuller, W. (1981). Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057–1072. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912517
  10. Drożdż, S., Gȩbarowski, R., Minati, L., Oświȩcimka, P., & Wa̧torek, M. (2018a). Bitcoin market route to maturity? Evidence from return fluctuations, temporal correlations and multiscaling effects. Chaos, 28(7). https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5036517
  11. Drożdż, S., Gȩbarowski, R., Minati, L., Oświȩcimka, P., & Wa̧torek, M. (2018b). Bitcoin market route to maturity? Evidence from return fluctuations, temporal correlations and multiscaling effects. Chaos, 28(7). https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5036517
  12. Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.2307/2325486
  13. Fama, E. F. (1991). Efficient Capital Markets: II. The Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.2307/2328565
  14. Guedes, E. F., Santos, R. P. C., Figueredo, L. H. R., Da Silva, P. A., Dias, R. M. T. S., & Zebende, G. F. (2022). Efficiency and Long-Range Correlation in G-20 Stock Indexes: A Sliding Windows Approach. Fluctuation and Noise Letters. https://doi.org/10.1142/S021947752250033X
  15. Horta, N., Dias, R., Revez, C., & Alexandre, P. (2022). Cryptocurrencies and G7 capital markets integrate in periods of extreme volatility? Journal of process management and new technologies 10(3), 121–130.
  16. Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00092-7
  17. Jarque, C. M., & Bera, A. K. (1980). Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals. Economics Letters, 6(3). https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(80)90024-5
  18. Kristoufek, L. (2018). On Bitcoin markets (in)efficiency and its evolution. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 503, 257–262. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.PHYSA.2018.02.161
  19. Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00098-7
  20. Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1988). Stock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test. Review of Financial Studies, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/1.1.41
  21. Pardal, P., Dias, R., Teixeira, N. & Horta, N. (2022). The Effects of Russia’ s 2022 Invasion of Ukraine on Global Markets : An Analysis of Particular Capital and Foreign Exchange Markets. Handbook of Research on Acceleration Programs for SMEs. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-6684-5666-8.ch014
  22. Phillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335–346. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335
  23. Revez, C., Dias, R., Horta, N., Heliodoro, P., & Alexandre, P. (2022). Capital Market Efficiency in Asia: An Empirical Analysis. 6th EMAN Selected Papers (Part of EMAN Conference Collection), 49–57. https://doi.org/10.31410/eman.s.p.2022.49
  24. Rosenthal, L. (1983). An empirical test of the efficiency of the ADR market. Journal of Banking & Finance, 7(1), 17–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-4266(83)90053-5
  25. Santana, T., Horta, N., Revez, C., Santos Dias, R. M. T., & Zebende, G. F. (2023). Effects of interdependence and contagion between Oil and metals by ρ DCCA : an case of study about the COVID-19. Sustainability, 15(5), 3945.
  26. Teixeira, N., Dias, R., & Pardal, P. (2022). The gold market as a safe haven when stock markets exhibit pronounced levels of risk : evidence during the China crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. April, 27–42.
  27. Tran, V. Le, & Leirvik, T. (2020). Efficiency in the markets of crypto-currencies. Finance Research Letters, 35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.101382
  28. Urquhart, A. (2016). The inefficiency of Bitcoin. Economics Letters, 148, 80–82. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ECONLET.2016.09.019
  29. Vasco, C., Pardal, P., & Dias, R. T. (2021). Do the stock market indices follow a random walk? Handbook of Research on Financial Management During Economic Downturn and Recovery, 389–410. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-6643-5.ch022
  30. Zargar, F. N., & Kumar, D. (2019). Informational inefficiency of Bitcoin: A study based on high-frequency data. Research in International Business and Finance, 47, 344–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RIBAF.2018.08.008
  31. Zebende, G. F., Santos Dias, R. M. T., & de Aguiar, L. C. (2022). Stock market efficiency: An intraday case of study about the G-20 group. Heliyon (Vol. 8, Issue 1). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e08808