Open Access Journal Article

The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China

by Qiang Song a,*
a
State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control & Resource Reuse, School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 25 December 2024 / Accepted: 2 March 2025 / Published Online: 9 June 2025

Abstract

In recent years, as global climate change intensifies and ESG investment concepts gain prominence, climate risk has become a crucial factor for investors and financial markets. Investigating how climate risk is priced in the Chinese capital market is both theoretically and practically important for promoting the sustainable development of China's capital markets and advancing green finance. This study employs natural language processing (NLP) to quantify the proportion of climate risk-related content in the annual reports of listed companies, creating an indicator to assess their climate risk level. The study uses climate risk of listed companies as the explanatory variable and annual stock returns as the dependent variable, applying a fixed-effects model to empirically examine the impact of climate risk on investment returns. The study finds that: first, the climate risk of listed companies shows a clear trend of change over time; second, there is a significant positive correlation between the climate risk of listed companies and investment returns.


Copyright: © 2025 by Song. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY) (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
Cite This Paper
APA Style
Song, Q. (2025). The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China. Review of Economic Assessment, 4(1), 44. doi:10.58567/rea04010002
ACS Style
Song, Q. The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China. Review of Economic Assessment, 2025, 4, 44. doi:10.58567/rea04010002
AMA Style
Song Q. The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China. Review of Economic Assessment; 2025, 4(1):44. doi:10.58567/rea04010002
Chicago/Turabian Style
Song, Qiang 2025. "The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China" Review of Economic Assessment 4, no.1:44. doi:10.58567/rea04010002

Share and Cite

ACS Style
Song, Q. The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China. Review of Economic Assessment, 2025, 4, 44. doi:10.58567/rea04010002
AMA Style
Song Q. The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China. Review of Economic Assessment; 2025, 4(1):44. doi:10.58567/rea04010002
Chicago/Turabian Style
Song, Qiang 2025. "The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China" Review of Economic Assessment 4, no.1:44. doi:10.58567/rea04010002
APA style
Song, Q. (2025). The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China. Review of Economic Assessment, 4(1), 44. doi:10.58567/rea04010002

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics

References

  1. Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., and Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593–1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
  2. Bavandi, A., Berrais, D., Dolk, M., and Mahul, O. (2022). Physical climate risk assessment: Practical lessons for the development of climate scenarios with extreme weather events from emerging markets and developing economies. Tech. rep., Network for Greening the Financial System. https://www.ngfs.net/system/files/import/ngfs/media/2022/09/02/ngfs_physical_climate_risk_assessment.pdf
  3. Berkman, H., Jona, J., and Soderstrom, N. (2024). Firm-specific climate risk and market valuation. Accounting, Organizations and Society, 112, 101547. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aos.2024.101547
  4. Bolton, P., and Kacperczyk, M. (2021). Do investors care about carbon risk? Journal of Financial Economics, 142(2), 517–549. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.05.008
  5. Chaudhry, S. M., Ahmed, R., Shafiullah, M., and Huynh, T. L. D. (2020). The impact of carbon emissions on country risk: Evidence from the G7 economies. Journal of Environmental Management, 265, 110533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110533
  6. Diaz, D., and Moore, F. (2017). Quantifying the economic risks of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 7(11), 774–782. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3411
  7. Dimmelmeier, A., Doll, H., Schierholz, M., Kormanyos, E., Fehr, M., Ma, B., Beck, J., Fraser, A., and Kreuter, F. (2024). Informing climate risk analysis using textual information-A research agenda. Proceedings of the 1st Workshop on Natural Language Processing Meets Climate Change (ClimateNLP 2024), 12–26. https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2024.climatenlp-1.2
  8. Engle, R. F., Giglio, S., Kelly, B., Lee, H., and Stroebel, J. (2020). Hedging climate change news. The Review of Financial Studies, 33(3), 1184–1216. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhz072
  9. Eren, E., Merten, F., and Verhoeven, N. (2022). Pricing of climate risks in financial markets: A summary of the literature. BIS Papers. https://ideas.repec.org/b/bis/bisbps/130.html
  10. Faccini, R., Matin, R., and Skiadopoulos, G. (2023). Dissecting climate risks: Are they reflected in stock prices? Journal of Banking & Finance, 155, 106948. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2023.106948
  11. Fiedler, T., Pitman, A. J., Mackenzie, K., Wood, N., Jakob, C., and Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. (2021). Business risk and the emergence of climate analytics. Nature Climate Change, 11(2), 87–94. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00984-6
  12. Gan, K., Li, R., and Zhou, Q. (2024). Climate transition risk, environmental news coverage, and stock price crash risk. International Review of Financial Analysis, 103657. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103657
  13. Gentzkow, M., Kelly, B., and Taddy, M. (2019). Text as data. Journal of Economic Literature, 57(3), 535–574. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20181020
  14. Görgen, M., Jacob, A., Nerlinger, M., Riordan, R., Rohleder, M., and Wilkens, M. (2020). Carbon risk. Available at SSRN 2930897. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2930897
  15. Gu, G. W., and Hale, G. (2023). Climate risks and FDI. Journal of International Economics, 146, 103731. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2023.103731
  16. Harrington, L. J., Schleussner, C.-F., and Otto, F. E. L. (2021). Quantifying uncertainty in aggregated climate change risk assessments. Nature Communications, 12(1), 7140. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-27491-2
  17. Hassan, T. A., Hollander, S., van Lent, L., and Tahoun, A. (2019). Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 134(4), 2135–2202. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjz021
  18. Hennes, K., Bendig, D., and Löschel, A. (2024). Facing the storm: Developing corporate adaptation and resilience action plans amid climate uncertainty. Npj Climate Action, 3(1), 37. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-024-00116-2
  19. Javadi, S., and Masum, A.-A. (2021). The impact of climate change on the cost of bank loans. Journal of Corporate Finance, 69, 102019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2021.102019
  20. King, G., Lam, P., and Roberts, M. E. (2017). Computer-assisted keyword and document set discovery from unstructured text. American Journal of Political Science, 61(4), 971–988. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12291
  21. Lee, C.-C., Wang, C.-W., Thinh, B. T., and Xu, Z.-T. (2022). Climate risk and bank liquidity creation: International evidence. International Review of Financial Analysis, 82, 102198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102198
  22. Li, Q., Shan, H., Tang, Y., and Yao, V. (2024). Corporate climate risk: Measurements and responses. The Review of Financial Studies, 37(6), 1778–1830. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhad094
  23. Li, X., and Gallagher, K. P. (2022). Assessing the climate change exposure of foreign direct investment. Nature Communications, 13(1), 1451. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28975-5
  24. Liang, C., Zhu, M., Lee, P. K., Cheng, T., and Yeung, A. C. (2024). Combating extreme weather through operations management: Evidence from a natural experiment in China. International Journal of Production Economics, 267, 109073. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2023.109073
  25. Lin, B., and Wu, N. (2023). Climate risk disclosure and stock price crash risk: The case of China. International Review of Economics & Finance, 83, 21–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2022.08.007
  26. Liu, L., Beirne, J., Azhgaliyeva, D., and Rahut, D. (2024). Climate change and corporate financial performance. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 17(7), 267. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17070267
  27. Magnan, A. K., Pörtner, H.-O., Duvat, V. K., Garschagen, M., Guinder, V. A., Zommers, Z., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., and Gattuso, J.-P. (2021). Estimating the global risk of anthropogenic climate change. Nature Climate Change, 11(10), 879–885. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01156-w
  28. Matsumoto, K. (2019). Climate change impacts on socioeconomic activities through labor productivity changes considering interactions between socioeconomic and climate systems. Journal of Cleaner Production, 216, 528–541. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.12.127
  29. Mbanyele, W., and Muchenje, L. T. (2022). Climate change exposure, risk management and corporate social responsibility: Cross-country evidence. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 66, 100771. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2022.100771
  30. Naseer, M. M., Guo, Y., Bagh, T., and Zhu, X. (2024). Sustainable investments in volatile times: Nexus of climate change risk, ESG practices, and market volatility. International Review of Financial Analysis, 95, 103492. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103492
  31. Ren, X., Li, W., and Li, Y. (2024). Climate risk, digital transformation and corporate green innovation efficiency: Evidence from China. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 209, 123777. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123777
  32. Ren, X., Li, Y., Shahbaz, M., Dong, K., and Lu, Z. (2022). Climate risk and corporate environmental performance: Empirical evidence from China. Sustainable Production and Consumption, 30, 467–477. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2021.12.023
  33. Ren, X., Shi, Y., and Jin, C. (2022). Climate policy uncertainty and corporate investment: Evidence from the Chinese energy industry. Carbon Neutrality, 1(1), 14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43979-022-00008-6
  34. Rising, J., Tedesco, M., Piontek, F., and Stainforth, D. A. (2022). The missing risks of climate change. Nature, 610(7933), 643–651. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05243-6
  35. Robinson, A., Lehmann, J., Barriopedro, D., Rahmstorf, S., and Coumou, D. (2021). Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4(1), 45. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00202-w
  36. Sautner, Z., Van Lent, L., Vilkov, G., and Zhang, R. (2023). Firm‐Level Climate Change Exposure. The Journal of Finance, 78(3), 1449–1498. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13219
  37. Sautner, Z., van Lent, L., Vilkov, G., and Zhang, R. (2023). Pricing Climate Change Exposure. Management Science, mnsc.2023.4686. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4686
  38. Shao, M., and Xue, M. (2024). Firms’ voluntary climate action disclosures and stock market reaction: A BERT-based analysis of earnings conference calls in China. Journal of Climate Finance, 8, 100047. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclimf.2024.100047
  39. Shu, H., Tan, W., and Wei, P. (2023). Carbon policy risk and corporate capital structure decision. International Review of Financial Analysis, 86, 102523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102523
  40. Shu, W., and Fan, D. (2024). How do firms perceive and react to extreme weather risk in their supply bases? International Journal of Production Economics, 268, 109125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2023.109125
  41. Sun, Y., Yang, Y., Huang, N., and Zou, X. (2020). The impacts of climate change risks on financial performance of mining industry: Evidence from listed companies in China. Resources Policy, 69, 101828. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101828
  42. Sun, Y., Zhu, S., Wang, D., Duan, J., Lu, H., Yin, H., Tan, C., Zhang, L., Zhao, M., Cai, W., and others. (2024). Global supply chains amplify economic costs of future extreme heat risk. Nature, 627(8005), 797–804. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07147-z
  43. Tabari, H. (2020). Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability. Scientific Reports, 10(1), 13768. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-70816-2
  44. Webersinke, N., Kraus, M., Bingler, J. A., and Leippold, M. (2021). Climatebert: A pretrained language model for climate-related text. arXiv Preprint arXiv:2110.12010. https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.12010
  45. Wen, J., Wan, C., Ye, Q., Yan, J., and Li, W. (2023). Disaster risk reduction, climate change adaptation and their linkages with sustainable development over the past 30 years: A review. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 14(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-023-00472-3
  46. Wu, K., Karmakar, S., Gupta, R., and Pierdzioch, C. (2024). Climate risks and stock market volatility over a century in an emerging market economy: The case of South Africa. Climate, 12(5), 68. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12050068
  47. Wu, N., Xiao, W., Liu, W., and Zhang, Z. (2022). Corporate climate risk and stock market reaction to performance briefings in China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(35), 53801–53820. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-19479-2
  48. Wu, Q., and Wang, Y. (2022). How does carbon emission price stimulate enterprises’ total factor productivity? Insights from China’s emission trading scheme pilots. Energy Economics, 109, 105990. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2022.105990
  49. Yin, Z., Deng, R., Xia, J., and Zhao, L. (2024). Climate risk and corporate ESG performance: Evidence from China. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 74, 102245. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102245
  50. Yun, N. Y., and Ülkü, M. A. (2023). Sustainable Supply Chain Risk Management in a Climate-Changed World: Review of Extant Literature, Trend Analysis, and Guiding Framework for Future Research. Sustainability, 15(17), 13199. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151713199